Letters to toni - May/Jun 2011 PDF Print E-mail

How do you know that a trend move is ending and that it’s time to take gains or look for a price reversal?

That’s a very good question. Many traders tend to focus purely upon continuation patterns, such as buying a pullback in a larger uptrend, but even if you trade with the trend, recognising signs of trend exhaustion is extremely important. It will help not only to time better exits, but also to keep you out of a trade that looks good on one time period, but that is really more likely to be a trap.

A trap occurs when you receive a traditional buy or sell signal, typically in the direction of the prevailing trend, only to be trapped in the direction of the pre-existing trend as the market rapidly reverses. Until trend traders learn to recognise when a trend is reaching its end, they often get stuck in such traps.

Recognising trend exhaustion can also help you to graduate to trading reversal patterns. Although trading in the direction of the larger trend is typical for newer traders in particular, the market spends a great deal of time in a trading range or correcting from a recent trend move. The ability to trade such reversals can help you stay active, but without the added risk of trying to force a trade when the market isn’t favouring continuation moves...

Excerpted from an article originally published in the May/Jun 2011 issue of YourTradingEdge magazine. All rights reserved. © Copyright 2011, Your Media Edge Pty Ltd.
If you are a subscriber to YourTradingEdge magazine, you will receive this article in your
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